Rob Waterhouse believes the Golden Eagles’ favorite light infantry will be exposed by the speed of Australia’s best runners at Rosehill on Saturday.
The European raider has been cutting bids every day this week and reached $3 on Friday before returning to around $3.50 as favourite.
“I think $4 might be available on the track for him tomorrow,” Waterhouse said. “I think our horses are better than them over a mile, and too often we think it’s the other way around. It won’t be popular in Europe, but I think so.
“Their runners have an advantage, which is obvious looking at the Melbourne Cup over the years, but that doesn’t mean it has to be the same in a race like this.”
Corporate bookies have been doing their best to keep the Light Infantry – who comes to Australia as Group 1 runner-up in his last two starts – safe as money has flowed in for him, but Waterhouse pointed to Betfair’s influence on that value.
“He makes up most of the money traded on Betfair, but I’ll be up against him in his European form,” Waterhouse said. “He got big prices for two runs in France. One was in a very fast time, but he seems to lack speed, looking at his form.
“Light Infantry could be a very good horse and I wish them well, but he has to come to Australia for the first time in a big area so I think he will fetch a much better price on race day.”
Light Infantry remains unchallenged at the top of the market, with only Peter Moody’s Chain Of Lightning below the $10 mark, which is a wide-open betting affair. Chain Of Lightning was only beaten once and was $6 in most places on Friday afternoon.
“It’s one of those races where they want to support light infantry, chain lightning and gypsy goddess and that’s where it ends,” said TAB’s Glenn Munsey.