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Talking Horses: Albaflora has an advantage over Believe In Love in Chester Sports

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Group 3 of Ormonde Stakes in Chester on Thursday warned of a recent trend towards small fields with double-digit turnouts for the first time since 2008.

It will be interesting to see how the light-hearted Hamish, winner of Melrose in York three seasons ago, will start his six-year career, and he still has enough time and potential to make a high-level score this year.

However, after 185 days of rest, he gives weight to all nine of his competitors, and cool mares Believe In Love and Albaflora (3.10) is more attractive for betting.

Both finished within the range of the winner at last season’s first group of winners and have room for further improvement at five, but the fact that Albaflora was the winner for the first time in 2021 contributes to its balance.

Chester 1.30 In this sprint handicap there is a lot of pace to the long rail, and an early jerk on the rail can be crucial. Night on earth is in fourth stall but trapped like a greyhound when last time was third in a tough race in Newmarket and that could give him an advantage.

Worcester 1.50 Some of these hunters have questions that need to be answered about their recent shape or fitness Heads Ford looks great at 6-1 to make a successful debut through the boards.

Chester 2.05 Of the nine runners Spacer is an outsider in the first bets around 16-1 and his fitness needs to be trusted, but last year he showed good for the first time in a competition that proved strong and the excellent Laura Pearson took off a useful 3 pounds.

Chester 2.40 Although not involved in the Derby, Dubai poetGeneral form – including a good run behind Winner of Guinea Coroebus last year is solid and he may well find more to step forward in the trip. Aidan O’Brien’s Star of India derby is an obvious danger, but it seems to be valued as much as his coach’s record in this race – six wins in the last nine – as well as his form.

Chester 3.40 Enfrachise significantly improved to return to the territory last time, and although she needs to overcome a difficult draw, it may be a minor obstacle in this trip (three winners of this race in eight years came out of double-digit stalls).

Chester’s Guards change victory shatters New London derby hopes

On Wednesday, Aidan O’Brien at least temporarily slowed Charlie Appleby’s footing as a 33-1 double in the afternoon classic test improved his hand in both the Derby and Oaks, while making a big dent in Derby New London’s Derby results. 4-11 for Changingoftheguard in the third group of Chester Vase.

New London, in the blue color of Godolphin, like all Appleby runners, went into the race undefeated in two starts and was offered about 5-1 by the second favorite in the June 4 Derby.

After two and a half minutes and one complete defeat, he lost 16-1, clearly unable to answer the questions that Roodee asks an inexperienced three-year-old. “No excuses,” his racer William Buick said afterwards. “He still has a lot to learn.”

The change of guard, on the other hand, was sent straight to leader Ryan Moore and without hesitation bypassed Chester, eventually pulling in a line of six and a half segments. It now has the highest price of 12-1 (from 50-1) for the Epsom Classic on the market, led by its stable partner Luxembourg, which finished the third of 2,000 Guineas last saturday.

“We were thrilled with this race,” said O’Brien of Ireland. “I think, not to mention that, I have to say he’s going to Epsom now.”

Luxembourg and Changingoftheguard are unlikely to be O’Brien’s only records in the Derby, as the stable expects to be represented on all major Epsom courts in the coming days in Chester, Lingfield, Leopardstown and York.

The Ballydoyle team for the Oaks also got a boost as Thoughts Of June, a 7-1 chance, continued to find more on the run-in to beat Above The Curve – trained by his son Joseph O’Brien – at Listed Cheshire Oaks.

The top The Curve, an ardent favorite, seemed to be in the final phase of Thoughts Of June’s fall, but she also demonstrated a lack of experience as the winner – who last time lagged behind the favorite by almost three lengths – held fast to the line.

Now the highest price of “Thoughts of June” – 16-1 (from 66-1) for Oaks, another classic runner who studied with O’Brien – in this case on Tuesday – tops the market after finishing third in Guinea in Newmarket.

A short guide

Greg Wood’s advice on Thursday

Show

Worcester 1.15 Dunbar 1.50 Heads Ford 2.23 Pennyforapound 3.03 Donsesar de Preto 3.33 Incomparable beauty 4.05 Honor Gray 4.40 Rootless tree

Chester 1.30 Night on Earth (nb) 2.05 Spacer 2.40 Dubai poet 3.10 Albaflora 3.40 Give the right choices 4.15 Common 4.50 Trojan horse (nap)

Huntingdon 1.40 Salih Bay 2.15 Tanora 2.50 Tiger orchid 3.20 One for Billy 3.55 Hazard Collonges 4.30 Tea is free 5.05 Maybe Dark 5.35 Le Bray

Chelmsford City 5.00 Irish Times 5.30 Another romance 6.00 Bad weather 6.30 Espresso 7.00 Sir Gregory 7.30 Figures 8.00 Uptan Park

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“I thought she would stand up for it [her first run of the season] and she obviously did, ”O’Brien said. “We thought of Oaks for her, and that was the reason she sent her to Chester to see if she could handle it, and to teach her a lot.”

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2022/may/04/changingoftheguard-wins-in-chester-to-dent-new-londons-derby-hopes

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